Orange Juice Technical Analysis - Orange Juice Trading: 2020-06-30


Crop estimate downgrade bullish for orange price

Technical Analysis Summary Orange Juice: Buy

IndicatorValueSignal
RSINeutral
MACDBuy
Donchian ChannelBuy
MA(200)Buy
FractalsBuy
Parabolic SARSell

Chart Analysis

On the daily timeframe the ORANGE: D1 is rising above the 200-day moving average MA(200) which is rising itself. We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper Donchian boundary at 126.60. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 116.96. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (116.96) without reaching the order (126.60) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis of -

USDA forecast downgraded Florida orange crop for 2019-2020 season. Will the orange prices continue rising?

Orange juice is rebounding following a retreat after hitting a 19-month high three weeks ago. Demand for orange juice remains strong with consumers viewing its nutrients and high vitamin C content as a means to boost human immune system. And recent Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service ( NASS ) May crop forecast projects a decrease in oranges and grapefruit production. The USDA predicted Florida Orange production at 67.7 million boxes, down 3 percent from the May forecast. Lower supply estimates are bullish for orange price.