US production downgrade bullish for sugar price
Technical Analysis Summary Sugar: Buy
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral | |
| MACD | Buy | |
| Donchian Channel | Neutral | |
| MA(200) | Buy | |
| Fractals | Neutral | |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
Chart Analysis
On the daily timeframe #C-SUGAR: Daily is retracing up above the 200-day moving average MA(200) after consolidating in a triangle. We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper boundary of Donchian channel at 15.27. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below the last fractal high at 14.05. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (14.05) without reaching the order (15.27), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of -
US sugar production was downgraded. Will the sugar price resume advancing?
United States Department of Agriculture downgraded US sugar production and ending stocks couple days ago. Sugar production is lowered in 2020/21, driven primarily by reduced sugar beet yields, particularly in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Michigan. Total supply for 2020/21 is cut substantially as imports and beginning stocks are also reduced. October 2020 imports from the extended 2019/20 raw sugar tariff-rate quota (TRQ) were smaller than expected, leading total projected 2020/21 imports to be smaller than previously forecast. With total use unchanged in 2020/21, ending stocks are tightened substantially. Lower estimates of sugar supply is bullish for sugar prices.