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AUD/JPY Technical Analysis - AUD/JPY Trading: 2025-07-17
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis Summary
Below 96.092
Sell Stop
Above 97.042
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Sell |
| Donchian Channel | Sell |
| MA(200) | Buy |
| Fractals | Sell |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
AUD/JPY Chart Analysis
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of the AUDJPY price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows AUDJPY,H4 is retreating toward the 200-day moving average MA(200) after rebounding to six-month high two days ago. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower bound of the Donchian channel at 96.092. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 97.042. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - AUD/JPY
Australia’s labor market data were weaker than expected for June. Will the AUDJPY price retreating persist?
Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the unemployment rate rose to an over three-year high of 4.3% in June from 4.1% in May when no change was expected. Employment increased by just 2 thousand, well below the expected gain of 20 thousand and bringing total employment to 14.64 million. It was the smallest increase since October 2024. Full-time employment fell by 38.2 thousand to 10.06 million, reversing a revised gain of 41.9 thousand in May. However, full employment rose by 2.0% on a yearly basis or 286.3 thousand. The soft labor market data supports the view Australian economy is slowing, strengthening the case for policy easing. Markets are now pricing in an 89% chance of a 25 basis points rate cut at the central bank's August meeting, as policymakers weigh rising unemployment against subdued inflation. Rising expectations of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia is bearish for Australian dollar and the AUDJPY currency pair.
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This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.