USD/CHF Technical Analysis | USD/CHF Trading: 2015-05-18 | IFCM Hong Kong
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USD/CHF Technical Analysis - USD/CHF Trading: 2015-05-18

Triangle way out

Today we examine the USD/CHF currency pair on the H4 chart. The price is located in the consolidation zone of the triangle formed by the bearish trendline and the support level at 0.91102. At the current moment there is a price retracement associated with the profit taking occurred at the end of last week. However, let’s recall that the composite index of Consumer Sentiment was released on Friday in the US. It fell 8% below estimates and the previous month value. As fundamental data of great importance is not expected today, we believe that the bearish trend of the US currency will be maintained.

USD/CHF

Bearish momentum is expected to develop further after the fractal support breakout at 0.91102. Since then, ParabolicSAR is likely to reverse in the direction of the red zone. We can also expect Donchian Channel to have a negative bias. The support breakout will likely to result in a price movement with fluctuations determined by the triangle height, i.e. 15-20 pips. Conservative traders are recommended to pay attention to the RSI-Bars oscillator. Bars coincide with the price retracement movement direction. To be sure in the bearish trend, we suggest waiting for the breakout at 41%, which is expected to accompany the price support crossover at 0.91102. This mark is confirmed by Parabolic historical values and the support trend line. Stop loss is to be placed at the resistance line (0.92604), which is strengthened by the upper Donchian Channel boundary. After pending order placing, Stop loss is to be moved every four hours to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the probable profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point.

PositionSell
Sell stopbelow 0.91102
Stop lossabove 0.92604

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This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.

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