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USD/JPY Technical Analysis - USD/JPY Trading: 2025-05-01
USD/JPY Technical Analysis Summary
Above 144.25
Buy Stop
Below 142.31
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Buy |
| Donchian Channel | Buy |
| MA(200) | Sell |
| Fractals | Neutral |
| Parabolic SAR | Buy |
USD/JPY Chart Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of the USDJPY price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows USDJPY, H4 is rebounding toward the 200-period moving average MA(200) after retreating to one-week low two days ago. We believe the bullish movement will continue after the price breaches above the upper bound of the Donchian channel at 144.25. A level above this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 142.31. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal low indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - USD/JPY
Bank of Japan downgraded Japan’s economic growth outlook. Will the USDJPY price rebounding continue?
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) retained its key short-term interest rate at 0.5% - the highest level since 2008 - at its meeting today. The BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% from 1.0% projected in January, and reduced the 2026 growth outlook also to 0.7% from 1.0%. Policymakers cited trade risks and policy uncertainty amid rising concerns that president Trump's tariff measures could dampen both US and global economic growth. Expectations of slower Japanese economic growth are bearish for yen and bullish for USDJPY currency pair.
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