#C-LHOG Price Forecast | Rising Chinese pork imports bullish for LHOG | IFCM Hong Kong

Technical Analysis #C-LHOG : 2020-05-22

Recommendation for Lean Hog:

Buy
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Above 58.73

Buy Stop

Below 55.74

Stop Loss

Expert Avatar
Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 1528
IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Neutral
MACD Buy
Donchian Channel Neutral
MA(200) Buy
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Buy

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the 4-hour timeframe #C-LHOG: H4 has breached above the 200-period moving average MA(200), which has levelled off. We believe the bullish momentum will continue as the price breaches above the upper Donchian boundary at 58.73. A pending order to buy can be placed above that level. The stop loss can be placed below 55.74. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (55.74) without reaching the order (58.73), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

Lean hog price is rising supported by rising Chinese imports following US-China trade deal. Will the LHOG continue rebounding?

China’s pork deficit due to African Swine Fever (ASF) has resulted in rising Chinese pork imports. China imported 95,892 tons of US pork, up 250% from a year ago, according to the US Meat Export Federation. And while China is working to rebuild its pig herd, analysts estimate China’s pork imports will continue to rise this year. China’s reported Q1 pork imports are up 118% to nearly 1.2 million tons. The US accounts for 23% while the EU remains the primary supplier with a 61% market share. Rising Chinese imports are bullish for LHOG. However, US pork prices are pressured by increasing supply as meat processing plants restart after covid-19 shutdowns. At the same time demand is lower despite coming Memorial Day holiday next Monday. American pork slaughterhouses were operating through Wednesday at 85% of year ago levels as workers returned to plants. Wholesale pork prices climbed for the first time in four days but are still 18% below a five-year high of $121.66 per 100 pounds, according to US Department of Agriculture. Rising US supply and lower demand are downside risk for pork.

Start trading with IFC Markets

We are ready to support you with any kind of questions, 24 hours a day.

Note: This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.